1. Following the UK referendum in 2016, 910 randomly sampled UKvoters were asked which of the following options they agreed mostwith (i) the UK should negotiate an exit deal with the EU, thenhave a second referendum, (ii) the UK should negotiate an exit dealwith the EU then enact Article 50, or (iii) the UK should enactArticle 50 immediately. The results of the survey by politicalideology are shown below.
Po/itico/ ideology
| Conservative | Labour | Liberal | Total |
(i)Negotiate then referendum | 57 | 120 | 101 | 278 |
(ii)Negotiate then enact | 121 | 113 | 28 | 262 |
(iii) Enact Article 50 immediately | 179 | 126 | 1 | 306 |
(iv) Not sure | 15 | 4 | 45 | 64 |
Total | 372 | 363 | 175 | 910 |
- What percent of these voters identify themselves aslabour?
- What percent of these voters are in favour of enacting Article50immediately?
- What percent of the voters who identify themselves asConservatives are also in favour of the “negotiate then referendum”option? What percent of Labour share this view? What percent ofLiberal share this view? [Compute 3 conditionalprobabilities.]
- Do political ideology and views on Article 50 appear to beindependent? No formal testing is required, but make sure toexplain your reasoning.
