A large Portland manufacturer wants to forecast demand for a piece of pollution-control equipment. A...
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Finance
A large Portland manufacturer wants to forecast demand for a piece of pollution-control equipment. A review of past sales
(Upper A Subscript tAt ), as shown below, indicates that an increasing trend is present. Smoothing constants are assigned the values of
alpha = 0.2 and beta =0.4 The firm assumes the initial forecast for month 1 (Upper F 1F1 )was13.00 units and the trend over that period Upper T 1T1 was
2.00 units.
Using trend-adjusted exponential smoothing, Forecasts (Upper F Subscript tFt ), Trend (Upper T Subscript tTt ), and Forecasts Including Trend (FIT Subscript tFITt ) for months 1 through 4 have already been developed and are provided below. Continue with the process and determine Upper F Subscript tFt , Upper T Subscript tTt , and FIT Subscript tFITt for months 5 and 6 (round your responses to two decimal places):
Month
(t )
Actual Demand
(Upper A Subscript tAt )
Forecast
(Upper F Subscript tFt )
Trend
(Upper T Subscript tTt )
Forecast Including Trend
(FIT Subscript tFITt )
1
14.0
13.00
2.00
15.00
2
16.0
14.80
1.92
16.72
3
20.0
16.58
1.86
18.44
4
20.0
18.75
1.98
20.73
5
25.0
?
?
?
6
21.0
?
?
?
7
32.0
8
26.0
9
38.0
10
-
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