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A public health department is evaluating the possible causes for a vaccine shortage during a major...

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Operations Management

A public health department is evaluating the possible causes fora vaccine shortage during a major flu outbreak. The probability ofa flu outbreak is estimated to be 10%. The department uses twosuppliers, Vendor A and Vendor B. The following is their analysisof the leading causes for a shortage:

  • Each vendor has a 5% chance they could run short of vaccine,since they must supply health departments in other regions duringthe outbreak.
  • Even if vendors could supply enough vaccine, there is a 10%chance that shipping of the vaccine could be disrupted due topandemonium during the outbreak.
  • Given the above information, construct a fault-tree with thetop event being a flu vaccine shortage (use only AND and ORgates).

  • Estimate the probability of a flu vaccine shortage.

Answer & Explanation Solved by verified expert
3.8 Ratings (552 Votes)
Given the above information construct a faulttree with thetop event being a    See Answer
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