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Attendance at Orlandos newest Disney-like attraction, Minecraft World, has been as follows: QUARTER ...

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Accounting

Attendance at Orlandos newest Disney-like attraction, Minecraft World, has been as follows:
QUARTER
GUESTS (IN THOUSANDS)
QUARTER
GUESTS (IN THOUSANDS)
Winter 2019
73
Summer 2020
124
Spring 2019
104
Fall 2020
52
Summer 2019
168
Winter 2021
89
Fall 2019
74
Spring 2021
146
Winter 2020
65
Summer 2021
205
Spring 2020
82
Fall 2021
98
Compute the seasonal indexes
Which quarter has the largest change in the number of guests?
Use the Nave method to forecast the number of guests for the Winter of 2022.
Use 3-quarter moving average to forecast the number of guests for the Winter of 2022.
Use exponential smoothing model to forecast the number of guests for the Winter of 2022. Assume a smoothing constant of 0.20.
Use the trend projection model to forecast the number of guests for the Winter of 2022.
Compare the three forecast methods you have used and recommend the forecast for Winter of 2022.
Discuss the trend projection model for this problem.

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