Consider an investment opportunity with an option to grow that requires a $4 million investment...
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Finance
Consider an investment opportunity with an option to grow that requires a $4 million investment today. In one year, you will find out whether the project is successful. The probability of being successful in year 1 is 20% and in this case the project generates $1.2 million in revenue per year in perpetuity; otherwise, the project will generate nothing. You have the option to grow --- at the end of year 2, you can double the size of the project on the original terms. The appropriate cost of capital is 12%. Calculate the following two:
I. The NPV of the investment opportunity WITHOUT the option to grow.
II. The value of the option to grow.
The value of the following two is closest to:
a.
I. -$2.0 million; II. $1.3 million.
b.
I. $0.0 million; II. $1.0 million.
c.
I. -$2.0 million; II. $1.0 million.
d.
I. -$1.0 million; II. $1.3 million.
e.
I. $0.0 million; II. $1.3 million.
f.
I. -$1.0 million; II. $1.0 million.
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