Dr. Strangelove has created a device that predicts whether ornot a missile has been launched. Given that a missile has beenlaunched, the device will correctly report that a missile has beenlaunched 95 percent of the time. Given that a missile has not beenlaunched, there is a 2 percent chance that the device willincorrectly report that a missile has been launched. There is a 1percent chance that a missile will be launched. What is theprobability that the device will indicate that a missile has beenlaunched?
a. 0.293
b. 0.324
c.0.675
d. 0.971
e. 0.016
