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In his book Chances Risk and Odds in Everyday Life James Burke states that there...

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In his book Chances Risk and Odds in Everyday Life James Burke states that there is a 72 chance a polygraph test lie detector test will catch a person who is in fact lying Furthermore there is approximately a 7 chance that the polygraph will falsely accuse someone of lying a Suppose a person answers 85 of a long battery of questions truthfully What percentage of the answers will the polygraph wrongly indicate are lies b Suppose a person answers 15 of a long battery of questions with lies What percentage of the answers will the polygraph correctly indicate are lies c Suppose 40 of the questions are answered truthfully and 60 are answered with lies What percentage of the answers will the polygraph wrongly indicate are lies d Suppose 40 of the questions are answered truthfully and 60 are answered with lies What percentage of the answers will the polygraph correctly indicate are lies e Suppose 20 of the questions are answered truthfully and the rest are answered with lies What percentage of the answers will the polygraph wrongly indicate are lies f Suppose 20 of the questions are answered truthfully and the rest are answered with lies What percentage of the answers

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