Lagoon Inc. is a multinational firm whose stable cash flows have attracted the attention of...
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Lagoon Inc. is a multinational firm whose stable cash flows have attracted the attention of Bayou Capital, a private equity firm specialized in leveraged buyouts. An analyst at Bayou Capital has made the following projections for the next five years (all numbers in millions):
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Sales
2100
2200
2310
2410
2505
- COGS
700
730
765
800
835
- SG&A
800
840
880
920
960
- Depreciation
200
210
220
230
240
= EBIT
400
420
445
460
470
- Tax
140
147
155.75
161
164.5
= NOPAT
260
273
289.25
299
305.5
+ Depreciation
200
210
220
230
240
- Capex
215
220
225
230
235
- Change in NWC
5
5
5
5
5
= FCF
240
258
279.25
294
305.5
If the firm was unlevered, its cost of equity would be 12%. The risk-free rate is 4% and the cost of debt is 8%. The firms marginal tax rate is 35%.
1
After year five, the firms free cash flow is projected to grow at a rate of 3% per year. The firm will also stop paying down its debt and its debt will grow at the same rate as its free cash flow. The firms schedule of borrowings and principal repayments is as follows:
Year 0
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Debt outstanding at year-end
2750
2590
2395
2155
1875
1560
Principal repayment at year-end
160
195
240
280
315
Interest is paid at year-end based on the amount of principal outstanding at the end of the previous year. Today is the end of year zero. The year zero amount of debt is raised today and is subject to a 1% flotation fee on the gross proceeds raised. The flotation fee can be amortized on a straight line basis over the next five years.
a) What logical mistake did the analyst make in the projection of capital expenditures?
b) Ignoring the above mentioned mistake, perform an APV valuation of the Lagoon Inc LBO. Start by calculating the unlevered firm value, then add interest tax shields and subtract net flotation costs.
c) What is the capital structure of this LBO?
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