Someone witnesses a crime involving a taxi. The witness tells
the police that the taxi was...
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Someone witnesses a crime involving a taxi. The witness tellsthe police that the taxi was blue. The police know that 80% ofwitnesses are correct and also that 12% of all of the taxis thatcould have been involved are blue while the rest are green. What isthe probability that the taxi was in fact blue? Write your answerout to two decimal places so that 1% is .01, 99% is .99, etc. \"baserate fallacy taxi\"
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Suppose that theres no bias for any particular blue or green taxi to be involved in such incidents Then consider 100 possible cases contingencies in which taxis are involved in proportion to
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