Let x be a random variable that represents the averagedaily temperature (in degrees Fahrenheit) in July in a town inColorado. The x distribution has a mean μ ofapproximately 75°F and standard deviation σ ofapproximately 8°F. A 20-year study (620 July days) gave the entriesin the rightmost column of the following table.
IÂ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â | II | III | IV |
Region under Normal Curve | x°F | Expected % from Normal Curve | Observed Number of Days in 20 Years |
μ – 3σ ≤ x < μ –2σ |   51 ≤ x < 59 | 2.35%          | 12            |
μ – 2σ ≤ x < μ–  σ |   59 ≤ x < 67 | 13.5%          | 90            |
μ –  σ ≤ x <μ |   67 ≤ x < 75 | 34%          | 206            |
μ ≤ x < μ + σ |   75 ≤ x < 83 | 34%          | 215            |
μ + σ ≤ x < μ +2σ |   83 ≤ x < 91 | 13.5%          | 82            |
μ + 2σ ≤ x < μ +3σ |   91 ≤ x < 99 | 2.35%          | 15            |
(i) Remember that μ = 75 and σ = 8. Examinethe figure above. Write a brief explanation for columns I, II, andIII in the context of this problem.
This answer has not been graded yet.
(ii) Use a 1% level of significance to test the claim that theaverage daily July temperature follows a normal distribution withμ = 75 and σ = 8.(a) What is the level ofsignificance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
H0: The distributions are different.
H1: The distributions aredifferent.H0: The distributions aredifferent.
H1: The distributions are thesame.     H0: Thedistributions are the same.
H1: The distributions are thesame.H0: The distributions are the same.
H1: The distributions are different.
(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample.(Round the expected frequencies to at least three decimal places.Round the test statistic to three decimal places.)
Are all the expected frequencies greater than 5?
YesNo    Â
What sampling distribution will you use?
normalbinomial     Student'stchi-squareuniform
What are the degrees of freedom?
(c) Estimate the P-value of the sample test statistic.
P-value > 0.1000.050 < P-value <0.100Â Â Â Â Â 0.025 < P-value <0.0500.010 < P-value < 0.0250.005 <P-value < 0.010P-value < 0.005
(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject orfail to reject the null hypothesis that the population fits thespecified distribution of categories?
Since the P-value > α, we fail to rejectthe null hypothesis.Since the P-value > α, wereject the null hypothesis.     Since theP-value ≤ α, we reject the null hypothesis.Sincethe P-value ≤ α, we fail to reject the nullhypothesis.
(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of theapplication.
At the 1% level of significance, the evidence is sufficient toconclude that the average daily July temperature does not follow anormal distribution.At the 1% level of significance, the evidenceis insufficient to conclude that the average daily July temperaturedoes not follow a normal distribution.   Â